Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Enmanuel Valdez

matchup for Seth Lugo

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Enmanuel Valdez

353rd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Valdez

Enmanuel Valdez has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.0% lower than Valdez's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	21.5%	3.4%	5.1%	13.0%	9.0%	28.1%
Valdez	-1.0	+0.5	+0.5	+0.3	-0.3	-1.5	+4.2
Lugo	-2.0	-2.4	+0.3	+0.2	-2.9	+0.4	+3.2

Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Valdez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Enmanuel Valdez has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.6% of Enmanuel Valdez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -1.0% +0.8% 5%

Walk -0.4% -2.3% 44%

In Play +1.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base -1.8% -0.4% 31%

Hit -1.4% +1.9% 14%

Single -1.3% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.9% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.1%

36.1% of Enmanuel Valdez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.4% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -6.1% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +7.7% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -2.2%

23.7% of Enmanuel Valdez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.0% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.6% -1.6%

10.7% of Enmanuel Valdez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%