Matchup Machine

Oneil Cruz

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

257th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Oneil Cruz

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Oneil Cruz has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.8% lower than Cruz's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.9%20.3%2.7%4.9%12.7%8.6%40.5%
Cruz-3.8-0.9-0.40.0-0.4-2.9+10.7
Crochet+1.4-0.6+0.2-0.1-0.7+2.1+5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Oneil Cruz is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Cruz has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Oneil Cruz has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +9.4% 3%         Walk +2.1% -1.3% 42%         In Play -5.9% -8.1% 39%         On Base +2.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit +0.2% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years