Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Oneil Cruz

matchup for C. Hernandez

210th out of 436 (Best 49%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for Oneil Cruz

239th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Moderate advantage for Cruz

Oneil Cruz has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.5% higher than Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	19.5%	3.5%	5.0%	11.0%	13.7%	29.6%
Cruz	+0.5	-1.7	+0.4	0.0	-2.1	+2.2	-0.2
Hernandez	+0.9	-2.0	+0.4	-0.9	-1.6	+2.9	+5.7

Oneil Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cruz has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Oneil Cruz has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% -1.8% 3%

Walk +2.1% +2.0% 42%

In Play -5.9% -0.2% 39%

On Base +2.4% +0.9% 31%

Hit +0.2% -1.1% 14%

Single -0.4% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.6%

38.3% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.1% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.4% +4.2% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +2.7%

36.4% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.1% -0.9%

8.8% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%