Matchup Machine

Oneil Cruz

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matchup for Matt Festa

206th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Matt Festa

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matchup for Oneil Cruz

356th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Cruz
1

Model Prediction

Oneil Cruz has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 1.9% lower than Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Festa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%21.8%3.5%5.6%12.7%9.1%32.3%
Cruz-1.9+0.6+0.4+0.6-0.4-2.5+2.5
Festa+0.0-1.6+0.7-0.2-2.0+1.6+7.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Oneil Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Cruz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Oneil Cruz has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
47%
   4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +2.6% 3%         Walk +2.1% +3.5% 42%         In Play -5.9% -6.1% 39%         On Base +2.4% +0.8% 31%         Hit +0.2% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years