Matchup Machine

Oneil Cruz

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matchup for Cole Ragans

276th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Cole Ragans

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matchup for Oneil Cruz

432nd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Ragans
2

Model Prediction

Oneil Cruz has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 1.2% lower than Cruz's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Ragans.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%17.1%2.8%4.3%10.0%14.4%34.2%
Cruz-1.2-4.0-0.3-0.6-3.1+2.9+4.4
Ragans+1.4-1.2+0.4-0.2-1.5+2.6+4.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Oneil Cruz is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cruz has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Oneil Cruz has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Changeup (L)
24%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Slider (L)
10%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +4.5% 3%         Walk +2.1% +1.2% 42%         In Play -5.9% -5.8% 39%         On Base +2.4% -1.8% 31%         Hit +0.2% -3.0% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years