Matchup Machine

Oneil Cruz

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

309th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Oneil Cruz

291st out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Leans in favor of Cruz
2

Model Prediction

Oneil Cruz has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.3% higher than Cruz's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%19.7%2.5%4.7%12.4%14.3%29.9%
Cruz+1.3-1.5-0.6-0.2-0.7+2.8+0.1
Schmidt+2.1+0.1+0.1+0.7-0.7+1.9+5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Oneil Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cruz has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Oneil Cruz has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +0.3% 3%         Walk +2.1% +1.6% 42%         In Play -5.9% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.4% -0.3% 31%         Hit +0.2% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.0% 0.0%

History

Oneil Cruz has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-29Walk
2024-09-29Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.