Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Oneil Cruz

matchup for Griffin Canning

236th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Griffin Canning

matchup for Oneil Cruz

219th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Cruz

Oneil Cruz has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Canning, which is 1.7% higher than Cruz's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Canning.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	20.3%	3.3%	4.7%	12.2%	14.1%	29.9%
Cruz	+1.7	-0.9	+0.3	-0.3	-0.9	+2.6	+0.1
Canning	+1.2	-1.4	+0.5	-0.3	-1.7	+2.7	+8.4

Oneil Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Griffin Canning is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cruz has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Griffin Canning throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Oneil Cruz has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

21%

Curve (R)

11%

14% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

38% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+24%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Griffin Canning strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% -1.9% 3%

Walk +2.1% +0.3% 42%

In Play -5.9% +1.6% 39%

On Base +2.4% -0.8% 31%

Hit +0.2% -1.1% 14%

Single -0.4% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.6%

38.3% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Griffin Canning induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% -3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.1% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.4% +2.3% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -0.7%

36.4% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. 25.9% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.1% +1.6%

8.8% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%