Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Oneil Cruz

matchup for Sandy Alcantara

209th out of 436 (Best 49%)

Sandy Alcantara

matchup for Oneil Cruz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Alcantara

Oneil Cruz has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 2.1% lower than Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	21.5%	2.3%	4.7%	14.5%	9.0%	31.4%
Cruz	-2.1	+0.0	-0.7	+0.0	+0.7	-2.1	+1.8
Alcantara	+0.3	-0.6	+0.2	+0.3	-1.1	+0.9	+5.2

Oneil Cruz is better vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Cruz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Oneil Cruz has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

28%

Changeup (R)

25%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Slider (R)

22%

12% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

48% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Small Drop 30%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+13%

16.8% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.7% +2.6% 4%

Walk +1.2% -0.7% 42%

In Play -5.0% -1.9% 39%

On Base +1.4% -4.4% 31%

Hit +0.2% -3.7% 14%

Single -0.3% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -1.4%

38.6% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara induces Standard Grounders at a 43.0% rate, which is 8.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.2% +8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.6% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +2.3% -1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.9% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +0.1%

36.3% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.8% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -3.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.0% -1.4%

8.9% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.1% +8.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.3% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° +2.8% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% -2.2% 15%

19 to 28° -4.4% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.5% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -3.7% -2.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.0% -1.0%

Oneil Cruz has 4 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.22	0.97	0.05	0.20			0.406

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Walk
2025-03-27	Flyout
2022-07-24	Groundout		4%	20%	76%
2022-07-24	Home Run	97%			2%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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