Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Oneil Cruz

matchup for Tyler Anderson

230th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

Tyler Anderson

matchup for Oneil Cruz

175th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Strong advantage for Cruz

Oneil Cruz has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.7% higher than Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Anderson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.4%	21.8%	3.5%	4.8%	13.5%	12.5%	28.0%
Cruz	+1.7	+0.7	+0.4	-0.2	+0.4	+1.0	-1.8
Anderson	+0.6	-0.4	+0.6	-0.4	-0.6	+1.1	+6.4

Oneil Cruz is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cruz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Oneil Cruz has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

22%

Sinker (L)

7% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

32% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Oneil Cruz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 32%

+19%

Low Ride 40%

+17%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Extreme Slow Velo 20%

+11%

Large Break 31%

+9%

16.9% of Oneil Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% -1.9% 3%

Walk +2.1% -1.0% 42%

In Play -5.9% +2.9% 39%

On Base +2.4% -0.1% 31%

Hit +0.2% +0.9% 14%

Single -0.4% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.2%

38.3% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.1% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.4% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +1.9%

36.4% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.1% -1.3%

8.8% of Oneil Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.3% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.0% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° +2.8% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.1% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -4.0% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -2.6% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -3.5% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +2.0% +2.8%

Oneil Cruz has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.90	0.00	0.05	0.85			0.300

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-06	Groundout		4%	4%	91%
2024-05-06	Groundout			10%	90%
2024-05-06	Single			71%	29%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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