Matchup Machine

Oswaldo Cabrera

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matchup for Tanner Houck

301st out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Oswaldo Cabrera

300th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Cabrera
4

Model Prediction

Oswaldo Cabrera has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.4% higher than Cabrera's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%23.2%1.7%4.5%17.0%9.5%15.6%
Cabrera+0.4-0.9-0.6-0.9+0.6+1.3-6.5
Houck+1.0+1.1-0.4+0.1+1.4-0.2-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Oswaldo Cabrera is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Cabrera has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Oswaldo Cabrera has a B+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Oswaldo Cabrera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -1.6% 4%         Walk -0.2% +0.2% 38%         In Play +3.4% +1.4% 39%         On Base +3.3% +0.4% 31%         Hit +3.5% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.3% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.5% -0.9%

History

Oswaldo Cabrera has 4 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with 3 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual410000130.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-28Walk
2024-07-28Strikeout
2023-09-14Walk
2023-09-14Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.