Matchup Machine

Oswaldo Cabrera

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matchup for Martin Perez

161st out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Oswaldo Cabrera

150th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Cabrera
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Model Prediction

Oswaldo Cabrera has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.8% higher than Cabrera's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%25.8%2.2%5.4%18.1%8.4%16.2%
Cabrera+1.8+1.7-0.1+0.0+1.7+0.2-5.9
Perez-0.5+0.4-0.9+0.1+1.2-0.9-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Oswaldo Cabrera is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cabrera doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Oswaldo Cabrera hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Oswaldo Cabrera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -6.1% 4%         Walk -0.2% -0.3% 38%         In Play +3.4% +6.4% 39%         On Base +3.3% +5.9% 31%         Hit +3.5% +6.3% 14%         Single +2.3% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.5% -0.6%

History

Oswaldo Cabrera has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.340.040.250.050.170
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-30Groundout4%96%
2023-04-30Lineout4%25%70%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.