Matchup Machine

Miguel Amaya

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

332nd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Miguel Amaya

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Amaya
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Model Prediction

Miguel Amaya has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.6% higher than Amaya's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.7%26.0%2.9%7.5%15.5%10.7%16.5%
Amaya+4.6+0.7+0.3+1.4-1.0+3.9-2.2
Sasaki-0.4+3.3-0.1+1.3+2.1-3.7-6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Amaya is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Amaya doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Miguel Amaya has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Miguel Amaya's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% -4.7% 5%         Walk -1.4% +27.6% 37%         In Play +6.9% -23.0% 39%         On Base +0.9% +14.9% 31%         Hit +2.2% -12.8% 14%         Single +1.1% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% -6.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -3.1%

History

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