Matchup Machine

Miguel Amaya

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matchup for Sean Reynolds

304th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Sean Reynolds

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matchup for Miguel Amaya

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Amaya
1

Model Prediction

Miguel Amaya has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 1.0% lower than Amaya's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Reynolds.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%21.2%2.2%5.9%13.2%9.9%26.5%
Amaya-1.0-4.0-0.4-0.2-3.4+3.0+7.8
Reynolds-0.2+1.8-0.4+1.1+1.2-2.0-5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Amaya is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Amaya has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Miguel Amaya has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
48%
   Slider (R)
46%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Miguel Amaya's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% +20.7% 5%         Walk -1.4% +2.8% 37%         In Play +6.9% -23.5% 39%         On Base +0.9% -5.4% 31%         Hit +2.2% -8.2% 14%         Single +1.1% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% -2.5% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -2.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years