Matchup Machine

Miguel Amaya

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Miguel Amaya

64th out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for Amaya
9

Model Prediction

Miguel Amaya has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 5.9% higher than Amaya's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.0%29.7%1.9%6.3%21.5%8.3%17.5%
Amaya+5.9+4.5-0.7+0.3+4.9+1.4-1.1
Bassitt+2.8+5.4-0.3+1.1+4.6-2.6-5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Amaya is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Amaya doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Miguel Amaya has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Miguel Amaya's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% -0.4% 5%         Walk -1.4% +0.1% 37%         In Play +6.9% +0.3% 39%         On Base +0.9% +1.5% 31%         Hit +2.2% +1.4% 14%         Single +1.1% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.4%

History

Miguel Amaya has 2 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.410.000.040.370.204
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-17Groundout4%27%69%
2024-08-17Forceout10%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.