Miguel Amaya has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 4.9% lower than Amaya's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Wheeler.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.2% | 21.4% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 24.1% |
Amaya | -4.9 | -3.9 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -3.8 | -1.0 | +5.5 |
Wheeler | +1.4 | +3.6 | 0.0 | +1.7 | +2.0 | -2.2 | -8.3 |
Miguel Amaya is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Amaya has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Miguel Amaya has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
11.3% of Miguel Amaya's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Miguel Amaya has 2 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.31 | 0.179 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-03 | Lineout | 5% | 31% | 64% | |
2024-07-03 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.