Matchup Machine

Leody Taveras

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

228th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Leody Taveras

412th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Leody Taveras has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.2% lower than Taveras's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%20.6%1.9%5.3%13.4%9.6%25.0%
Taveras-1.2-1.2-0.6-0.1-0.5-0.1+0.5
Weathers+0.3-0.9-0.2-0.2-0.5+1.2+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Leody Taveras is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Taveras has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Leody Taveras has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Leody Taveras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.0% -0.6% 39%         In Play +1.5% +2.7% 39%         On Base +1.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +1.0% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

History

Leody Taveras has 5 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001300.200
Expected From Contact →0.490.000.010.480.099
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Groundout1%40%59%
2024-06-01Strikeout
2024-06-01Strikeout
2023-08-05Strikeout
2023-08-05Single8%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.