Matchup Machine

Leody Taveras

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

308th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Leody Taveras

237th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Moderate advantage for Taveras
4

Model Prediction

Leody Taveras has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 1.2% higher than Taveras's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%21.9%2.7%5.3%13.8%10.7%24.1%
Taveras+1.2+0.1+0.20.0-0.1+1.0-0.5
Bibee+1.5-0.10.0+0.2-0.3+1.6-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Leody Taveras is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Taveras has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Leody Taveras has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Leody Taveras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +2.8% 4%         Walk +0.0% -1.3% 39%         In Play +1.5% -1.5% 39%         On Base +1.1% -1.1% 31%         Hit +1.0% +0.2% 14%         Single +0.4% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.2%

History

Leody Taveras has 8 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual883003200.375
Expected From Contact →1.960.000.101.860.245
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-23Strikeout
2024-08-23Single4%61%35%
2024-05-13Flyout5%5%90%
2024-05-13Single18%82%
2023-09-16Single56%44%
2023-09-16Groundout19%81%
2023-07-16Groundout27%72%
2023-07-16Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.