Matchup Machine

Leody Taveras

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matchup for Joe Ryan

140th out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Joe Ryan

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matchup for Leody Taveras

530th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Ryan
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Model Prediction

Leody Taveras has a 25.6% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 5.9% lower than Taveras's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Ryan.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.6%19.1%2.4%5.4%11.4%6.4%32.4%
Taveras-5.9-2.7-0.10.0-2.5-3.2+7.9
Ryan-1.3-1.1-0.2+0.1-1.0-0.2+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Leody Taveras is better vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Taveras has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Leody Taveras has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Leody Taveras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +4.7% 4%         Walk +0.0% -3.3% 39%         In Play +1.5% -1.4% 39%         On Base +1.1% -8.0% 31%         Hit +1.0% -4.7% 14%         Single +0.4% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -2.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.9%

History

Leody Taveras has 6 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual661001100.167
Expected From Contact →0.450.000.020.420.074
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-01Strikeout
2023-09-01Groundout3%97%
2023-08-26Groundout22%78%
2023-08-26Single17%83%
2022-08-21Flyout2%98%
2022-08-21Bunt Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.