Matchup Machine

Leody Taveras

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

262nd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Leody Taveras

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Taveras
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Model Prediction

Leody Taveras has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 2.7% higher than Taveras's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%23.2%2.4%6.5%14.2%10.9%24.4%
Taveras+2.7+1.4-0.1+1.1+0.3+1.3-0.2
Duffey+0.0+0.5-0.1+1.2-0.5-0.5-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Leody Taveras is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Taveras has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Leody Taveras hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Leody Taveras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +3.7% 4%         Walk +0.0% -2.4% 39%         In Play +1.5% -1.3% 39%         On Base +1.1% -5.5% 31%         Hit +1.0% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.4% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

History

Leody Taveras has 1 plate appearance against Tyler Duffey in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-07-09Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.