Matchup Machine

Leody Taveras

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Leody Taveras

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Taveras
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Model Prediction

Leody Taveras has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 2.4% higher than Taveras's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%24.8%3.0%5.9%15.9%9.0%18.1%
Taveras+2.4+3.0+0.5+0.5+1.9-0.6-6.4
Lyles+0.2+0.5-0.3+0.1+0.8-0.4-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Leody Taveras is better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Taveras has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Leody Taveras has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Leody Taveras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +0.8% 4%         Walk +0.0% -2.3% 39%         In Play +1.5% +1.5% 39%         On Base +1.1% -4.1% 31%         Hit +1.0% -1.7% 14%         Single +0.4% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.1%

History

Leody Taveras has 6 plate appearances against Jordan Lyles in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651001210.200
Expected From Contact →0.830.000.010.820.166
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-17Walk
2023-04-17Pop Out2%98%
2023-04-17Pop Out100%
2022-08-02Strikeout
2022-08-02Strikeout
2022-08-02Single80%19%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.