Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Juan Soto

matchup for Kyle Harrison

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Kyle Harrison

matchup for Juan Soto

356th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Extreme advantage for Soto

Juan Soto has a 42.0% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Harrison, which is 0.2% higher than Soto's typical expectations, and 9.3% higher than batters facing Harrison.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	42.0%	22.2%	3.8%	4.3%	14.1%	19.9%	21.9%
Soto	+0.2	+0.5	-0.1	-0.3	+0.9	-0.3	+2.6
Harrison	+9.3	-0.5	+0.8	-1.0	-0.3	+9.8	-4.0

Juan Soto is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Kyle Harrison is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Soto has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Kyle Harrison throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Juan Soto has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

58%

Curve (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

18%

14% of Kyle Harrison's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Juan Soto has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

39% of Kyle Harrison's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Juan Soto has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 39%

+24%

Low Ride 42%

+19%

Medium Fast Velo 34%

+18%

10.2% of Juan Soto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Kyle Harrison strikes out 15.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.4% +0.0% 0%

Walk +12.4% +1.0% 42%

In Play -5.1% -1.0% 39%

On Base +11.8% +1.4% 31%

Hit -0.6% +0.4% 14%

Single -2.8% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +4.5% +0.6%

35.6% of Juan Soto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Kyle Harrison induces Standard Grounders at a 28.6% rate, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -5.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.1% +2.7% 14%

Low Screamer -7.4% -5.4% 9%

Rising Liner +2.1% +3.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.9% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +1.7% 3%

Pop up -0.9% +0.2%

39.3% of Juan Soto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Harrison are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% -2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.1% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +4.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% +2.6%

10.4% of Juan Soto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.3% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Harrison are hit at this angle, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.2% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% -3.0% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% +2.8% 18%

7 to 18° -0.2% +1.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.0% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -3.1% 7%

39 to 50° -2.1% +3.1% 8%

Above 50° -0.8% +0.7%

Juan Soto has 3 plate appearances against Kyle Harrison in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.99	0.40	0.51	0.08			0.328

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-02	Forceout			7%	93%
2023-09-02	Flyout				99%
2023-09-02	Home Run	40%	51%		9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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