Matchup Machine

Juan Soto

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matchup for Slade Cecconi

428th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Slade Cecconi

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matchup for Juan Soto

346th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Extreme advantage for Soto
10

Model Prediction

Juan Soto has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 3.8% lower than Soto's typical expectations, and 6.4% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.0%24.0%5.3%5.0%13.7%14.0%18.7%
Soto-3.8+2.4+1.4+0.4+0.6-6.2-0.6
Cecconi+6.4-1.3+1.9-1.0-2.2+7.7-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Juan Soto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Soto has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Juan Soto has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

10.2% of Juan Soto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.4% -4.8% 0%         Walk +12.4% -4.3% 42%         In Play -5.1% +9.0% 39%         On Base +11.8% -1.5% 31%         Hit -0.6% +2.8% 14%         Single -2.8% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +4.5% +1.4%

History

Juan Soto has 1 plate appearance against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.500.000.010.490.498
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-11Groundout49%50%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.