Matchup Machine

Juan Soto

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

432nd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Juan Soto

512th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Extreme advantage for Soto
9

Model Prediction

Juan Soto has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 3.8% lower than Soto's typical expectations, and 7.5% higher than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.0%21.6%3.4%3.8%14.3%16.5%22.5%
Soto-3.8-0.1-0.4-0.8+1.2-3.7+3.2
Morejon+7.5-0.5+1.0-0.6-0.9+8.0-2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Juan Soto is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Soto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Juan Soto has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.2% of Juan Soto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.4% +1.9% 0%         Walk +12.4% -0.8% 42%         In Play -5.1% -1.2% 39%         On Base +11.8% -0.4% 31%         Hit -0.6% +0.4% 14%         Single -2.8% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +4.5% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years