Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Juan Soto

matchup for Tyler Duffey

435th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

Tyler Duffey

matchup for Juan Soto

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Soto

Juan Soto has a 47.3% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 5.5% higher than Soto's typical expectations, and 13.2% higher than batters facing Duffey.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	47.3%	20.6%	3.8%	4.5%	12.3%	26.7%	18.9%
Soto	+5.5	-1.0	-0.1	-0.1	-0.9	+6.5	-0.3
Duffey	+13.2	-2.0	+1.2	-0.8	-2.5	+15.3	-5.8

Juan Soto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Soto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Juan Soto hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

42%

4-Seam (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

14%

23% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Juan Soto has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

28% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Juan Soto has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 28%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Breaking (R) 42%

+12%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

10.2% of Juan Soto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.4% +3.7% 0%

Walk +12.4% -2.4% 42%

In Play -5.1% -1.3% 39%

On Base +11.8% -5.5% 31%

Hit -0.6% -3.1% 14%

Single -2.8% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% -1.3% 3%

Home Run +4.5% -0.5%

35.6% of Juan Soto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.1% +3.2% 14%

Low Screamer -7.4% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +2.1% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.9% -0.5%

39.3% of Juan Soto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.1% -3.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% +2.8%

10.4% of Juan Soto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%