Matchup Machine

Juan Soto

Worst 4% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 29% of matchups for Juan Soto

Extreme advantage for Soto

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.4%	5.0%	15.3%	9.4%	15.8%
MLB (+/-)	+1.6	+0.7	+1.4	-0.4	-9.4
Soto	+0.1	+0.2	+2.0	-3.3	-7.0
Gomber	+1.1	+0.6	-0.9	+1.5	-0.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.4%

5.0%

15.3%

9.4%

15.8%

MLB (+/-)

+1.6

+0.7

+1.4

-0.4

-9.4

Soto

+0.1

+0.2

+2.0

-3.3

-7.0

Gomber

+1.1

+0.6

-0.9

+1.5

-0.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	15	15	6	0	1	5	3	0	.400
Expected From Contact →			4.80	0.21	1.08	3.51			.320

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-31	Single		5%	77%	17%
2023-07-31	Strikeout
2023-07-31	Single		2%	66%	32%
2023-06-09	Single		5%	85%	10%
2023-06-09	Single			16%	83%
2023-06-09	Groundout			19%	81%
2023-04-02	Groundout			15%	85%
2023-04-02	Strikeout
2023-04-02	Groundout			14%	86%
2022-05-28	Double	9%	61%	1%	29%
2022-05-28	Flyout	12%	28%		60%
2022-05-04	Pickoff Caught Stealing 2B
2022-05-04	Single		4%	13%	83%
2022-05-04	Strikeout
2022-05-04	GIDP		1%	44%	55%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	41%	74	LHB vs LHP	22	20%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

41%

LHB vs LHP

20%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	42%	92	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	20%	102	Breaking	-26	37%
	12%	51	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	43%	80	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐⭐	40%	114	Slider	-6	20%
	34%	36	Changeup	0	18%
	39%	46	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

42%

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

20%

102

Breaking

-26

37%

12%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

43%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐⭐

40%

114

Slider

-6

20%

34%

Changeup

18%

39%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	56%	40	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
⭐	54%	67	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	73%	107	Top of zone	-3	12%
	64%	12	Middle	45	7%
⭐	54%	101	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

56%

Away / Glove Side

17%

⭐

54%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

73%

107

Top of zone

-3

12%

64%

Middle

⭐

54%

101

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	23%	20	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
	21%	32	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐	34%	75	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐⭐	35%	107	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

23%

Away / Glove Side

34%

21%

Below the zone

30%

⭐

34%

Above the zone

24%

⭐⭐

35%

107

In / Arm Side

10%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	27%	77	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	43%	101	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	43%	100	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	52%	83	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐⭐	50%	108	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐⭐	62%	80	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

27%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

43%

101

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

43%

100

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

52%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐⭐

50%

108

3 Balls

⭐⭐

62%

Full Count

-9