Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Juan Soto

matchup for Miles Mikolas

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Juan Soto

167th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Extreme advantage for Soto

Juan Soto has a 39.5% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 2.3% lower than Soto's typical expectations, and 7.3% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.5%	31.0%	5.2%	7.2%	18.5%	8.6%	16.3%
Soto	-2.3	+9.3	+1.3	+2.6	+5.3	-11.6	-3.0
Mikolas	+7.3	+2.9	+1.9	+0.7	+0.3	+4.4	-4.3

Juan Soto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Soto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Juan Soto has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Juan Soto has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Juan Soto has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

10.2% of Juan Soto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.4% -3.3% 0%

Walk +12.4% -3.9% 42%

In Play -5.1% +7.2% 39%

On Base +11.8% -0.6% 31%

Hit -0.6% +3.3% 14%

Single -2.8% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +4.5% +0.0%

35.6% of Juan Soto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.1% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -7.4% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner +2.1% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.9% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -0.9% -0.2%

39.3% of Juan Soto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% +1.1%

10.4% of Juan Soto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.2% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.2% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -1.0% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° -2.1% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -0.8% -2.1%

Juan Soto has 11 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 11 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	11	4	0	0	4	2	0	0.364
Expected From Contact →			2.78	0.04	0.66	2.07			0.252

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-01	Groundout			2%	98%
2024-09-01	Single	4%	17%	25%	53%
2023-08-30	Sac Bunt
2023-08-30	Single			21%	79%
2023-08-30	Flyout		11%	1%	88%
2022-09-21	Strikeout
2022-09-21	Strikeout
2022-09-21	Single		3%	92%	5%
2022-07-29	Flyout				99%
2022-07-29	Single		30%	64%	6%
2022-07-29	Lineout		4%	2%	94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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