Matchup Machine

Cristian Pache

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matchup for Jared Jones

26th out of 436 (Best 7%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Cristian Pache

386th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Cristian Pache has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.6% lower than Pache's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.9%19.4%2.2%4.4%12.8%7.5%37.9%
Pache-0.6-1.2+0.2-0.2-1.2+0.6+5.4
Jones-4.1-1.4-0.7-0.60.0-2.8+9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Cristian Pache is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pache has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Cristian Pache has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

19.2% of Cristian Pache's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.7% +0.4% 4%         Walk +1.1% +0.6% 43%         In Play -8.8% -1.1% 39%         On Base +0.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -0.2% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years