Matchup Machine

Cristian Pache

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

41st out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Cristian Pache

527th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
10

Model Prediction

Cristian Pache has a 23.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.3% lower than Pache's typical expectations, and 4.3% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.2%18.4%1.6%4.7%12.1%4.8%43.1%
Pache-4.3-2.2-0.4+0.1-1.9-2.1+10.5
Crochet-4.3-2.5-0.8-0.4-1.3-1.8+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Cristian Pache is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Pache has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Cristian Pache has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.2% of Cristian Pache's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.7% +9.4% 4%         Walk +1.1% -1.3% 43%         In Play -8.8% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit -0.2% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.8% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.1%

History

Cristian Pache has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.010.020.000.027
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-19Flyout2%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.