Matchup Machine

Cristian Pache

sometext

matchup for Andrew Abbott

34th out of 436 (Best 9%)

sometext

Andrew Abbott

sometext

matchup for Cristian Pache

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Abbott
3

Model Prediction

Cristian Pache has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 1.7% higher than Pache's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Abbott.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%20.9%2.4%5.6%12.9%8.3%29.1%
Pache+1.7+0.3+0.4+1.0-1.1+1.4-3.4
Abbott-2.8-0.6-0.8+0.2-0.1-2.2+6.9

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Cristian Pache is better vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Pache has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Cristian Pache has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

19.2% of Cristian Pache's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.7% -1.6% 4%         Walk +1.1% +0.9% 43%         In Play -8.8% +0.7% 39%         On Base +0.9% -1.6% 31%         Hit -0.2% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.8% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.2%

History

Cristian Pache has 4 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual430000210.000
Expected From Contact →0.150.010.130.000.048
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-07Strikeout
2024-08-07Strikeout
2024-04-23Walk
2024-04-23Flyout13%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.