Matchup Machine

Cristian Pache

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matchup for David Peterson

11st out of 436 (Best 3%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for Cristian Pache

274th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Strong advantage for Peterson
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Model Prediction

Cristian Pache has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.3% higher than Pache's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%20.8%1.5%4.3%15.1%8.0%29.8%
Pache+1.3+0.2-0.5-0.3+1.1+1.1-2.7
Peterson-4.0-2.1-0.7-0.7-0.6-2.0+7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Cristian Pache is better vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Pache has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Cristian Pache has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.2% of Cristian Pache's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.7% +0.1% 4%         Walk +1.1% +1.3% 43%         In Play -8.8% -1.3% 39%         On Base +0.9% +2.1% 31%         Hit -0.2% +0.8% 14%         Single +0.8% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -1.0%

History

Cristian Pache has 2 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.060.000.000.060.031
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-21Strikeout
2023-09-21Groundout6%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.