Cristian Pache has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.3% higher than Pache's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Peterson.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 28.8% | 20.8% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 29.8% |
Pache | +1.3 | +0.2 | -0.5 | -0.3 | +1.1 | +1.1 | -2.7 |
Peterson | -4.0 | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -2.0 | +7.9 |
Cristian Pache is better vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Pache has a D grade vs this particular release point.
David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Cristian Pache has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
19.2% of Cristian Pache's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Cristian Pache has 2 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.031 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-21 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-09-21 | Groundout | 6% | 94% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.