Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cristian Pache

matchup for Seth Lugo

5th out of 436 (Best 2%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Cristian Pache

408th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Strong advantage for Lugo

Cristian Pache has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.4% lower than Pache's typical expectations, and 6.3% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.1%	20.7%	1.8%	4.6%	14.3%	5.4%	34.8%
Pache	-1.4	+0.1	-0.3	+0.0	+0.4	-1.5	+2.3
Lugo	-6.3	-3.2	-1.4	-0.3	-1.5	-3.1	+10.0

Cristian Pache is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pache has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Cristian Pache has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cristian Pache has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Cristian Pache hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

19.2% of Cristian Pache's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.7% +0.8% 4%

Walk +1.1% -2.3% 43%

In Play -8.8% +1.4% 39%

On Base +0.9% -0.4% 31%

Hit -0.2% +1.9% 14%

Single +0.8% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.9% +0.1%

42.8% of Cristian Pache's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.4% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.1% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +3.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -7.5% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -2.2%

27.5% of Cristian Pache's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.3% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.2% -1.6%

6.0% of Cristian Pache's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%