Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

matchup for Jared Jones

436th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

Jared Jones

matchup for V. Guerrero Jr.

211st out of 567 (Best 38%)

Extreme advantage for Guerrero Jr.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 38.8% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.1% higher than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 7.7% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.8%	26.6%	5.7%	6.9%	14.0%	12.2%	17.5%
Guerrero Jr.	-0.1	-2.3	+1.3	+0.7	-4.3	+2.3	+3.1
Jones	+7.7	+5.7	+2.8	+1.8	+1.1	+2.0	-11.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -11.7% +0.4% 4%

Walk -0.3% +0.6% 35%

In Play +12.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base +11.5% -0.1% 31%

Hit +11.8% -0.8% 14%

Single +4.3% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +4.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +0.9%

37.8% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.4% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.8% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +2.5%

37.9% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.3% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.5% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.7% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +0.4%

8.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%