Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

matchup for Reese Olson

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Reese Olson

matchup for V. Guerrero Jr.

404th out of 564 (Worst 29%)

Extreme advantage for Guerrero Jr.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 37.3% chance of reaching base vs Reese Olson, which is 1.5% lower than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 6.2% higher than batters facing Olson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.3%	27.3%	3.9%	5.6%	17.9%	10.0%	14.1%
Guerrero Jr.	-1.5	-1.5	-0.6	-0.5	-0.4	+0.0	-0.4
Olson	+6.2	+5.1	+1.6	+0.7	+2.8	+1.1	-9.9

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Reese Olson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Reese Olson throws a Slider 29% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

29%

4-Seam (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

19%

Curve (R)

21% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

33% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Drop 30%

+17%

Large Break 33%

+12%

7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Reese Olson strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -11.7% -0.3% 4%

Walk -0.3% -2.0% 35%

In Play +12.0% +2.3% 39%

On Base +11.5% -0.5% 31%

Hit +11.8% +1.5% 14%

Single +4.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +4.7% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.8% -0.5%

37.8% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Reese Olson induces Standard Grounders at a 39.2% rate, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.4% +4.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -1.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.8% -3.4% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +1.1%

37.9% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.3% -3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.5% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.7% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.0% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +3.2%

8.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 6.9% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.0% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.2% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -0.2% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +0.8% 15%

19 to 28° -0.6% -0.6% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° -1.0% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% -0.2%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 5 plate appearances against Reese Olson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.14	0.00	0.18	0.97			0.286

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-20	Single		17%	55%	28%
2024-05-25	Walk
2024-05-25	Groundout			5%	95%
2024-05-25	Groundout			37%	63%
2023-07-09	Lineout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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