Matchup Machine

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

435th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for V. Guerrero Jr.

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Guerrero Jr.
10

Model Prediction

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 39.3% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.4% higher than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 7.5% higher than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.3%27.3%6.5%4.9%16.0%12.0%16.3%
Guerrero Jr.+0.4-1.6+2.0-1.3-2.3+2.0+1.9
Wantz+7.5+7.0+3.2+0.5+3.3+0.5-8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.7% +7.5% 4%         Walk -0.3% +2.0% 35%         In Play +12.0% -9.5% 39%         On Base +11.5% -6.5% 31%         Hit +11.8% -8.5% 14%         Single +4.3% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +2.8% -0.3%

History

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.000.040.043
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-28Forceout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.