Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 39.3% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.4% higher than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 7.5% higher than batters facing Wantz.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 39.3% | 27.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 16.3% |
Guerrero Jr. | +0.4 | -1.6 | +2.0 | -1.3 | -2.3 | +2.0 | +1.9 |
Wantz | +7.5 | +7.0 | +3.2 | +0.5 | +3.3 | +0.5 | -8.5 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.043 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-08-28 | Forceout | 4% | 96% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.