Matchup Machine

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

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matchup for Mason Englert

436th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

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Mason Englert

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matchup for V. Guerrero Jr.

59th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Extreme advantage for Guerrero Jr.
10

Model Prediction

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 39.7% chance of reaching base vs Mason Englert, which is 0.8% higher than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 8.2% higher than batters facing Englert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.7%32.0%5.9%8.1%18.0%7.7%11.6%
Guerrero Jr.+0.8+3.1+1.5+2.0-0.3-2.3-2.8
Englert+8.2+8.2+2.8+2.0+3.40.0-8.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mason Englert is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Mason Englert throws a Slider 33% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
33%
   4-Seam (R)
29%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Mason Englert strikes out 10.9% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.7% -5.9% 4%         Walk -0.3% -3.9% 35%         In Play +12.0% +9.8% 39%         On Base +11.5% -6.1% 31%         Hit +11.8% -2.2% 14%         Single +4.3% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% -1.7% 3%         Home Run +2.8% +1.7%

History

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 2 plate appearances against Mason Englert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.540.420.120.000.271
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-07Flyout41%10%49%
2023-04-11Flyout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.