Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 39.7% chance of reaching base vs Mason Englert, which is 0.8% higher than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 8.2% higher than batters facing Englert.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 39.7% | 32.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 18.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% |
Guerrero Jr. | +0.8 | +3.1 | +1.5 | +2.0 | -0.3 | -2.3 | -2.8 |
Englert | +8.2 | +8.2 | +2.8 | +2.0 | +3.4 | 0.0 | -8.4 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mason Englert is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Mason Englert throws a Slider 33% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed Sliders
7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Mason Englert strikes out 10.9% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 2 plate appearances against Mason Englert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.54 | 0.42 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.271 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-07-07 | Flyout | 41% | 10% | 49% | |
2023-04-11 | Flyout | 3% | 97% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.