Matchup Machine

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

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matchup for Sean Reynolds

435th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

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Sean Reynolds

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matchup for V. Guerrero Jr.

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Guerrero Jr.
10

Model Prediction

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 39.6% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 0.7% higher than Guerrero Jr.'s typical expectations, and 8.3% higher than batters facing Reynolds.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.6%27.4%4.9%6.3%16.3%12.2%19.3%
Guerrero Jr.+0.7-1.5+0.4+0.1-2.0+2.2+4.9
Reynolds+8.3+8.0+2.2+1.4+4.4+0.3-12.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
48%
   Slider (R)
46%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

7.6% of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% lower than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.7% +20.7% 4%         Walk -0.3% +2.8% 35%         In Play +12.0% -23.5% 39%         On Base +11.5% -5.4% 31%         Hit +11.8% -8.2% 14%         Single +4.3% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% -2.5% 3%         Home Run +2.8% -2.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years