Matchup Machine

Fernando Tatis Jr.

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matchup for Zach Penrod

420th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Zach Penrod

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matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.
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Model Prediction

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 39.4% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 3.7% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 4.4% higher than batters facing Penrod.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.4%22.8%4.3%5.7%12.7%16.6%22.2%
Tatis Jr.+3.7-2.7+0.4-0.2-2.9+6.4+0.7
Penrod+4.4+0.8+1.4+0.0-0.6+3.6-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Fernando Tatis Jr. is worse vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Changeup (L)
30%
   Slider (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% -10.5% 5%         Walk -0.8% +13.9% 38%         In Play +4.4% -3.4% 39%         On Base +5.3% +6.9% 31%         Hit +6.2% -7.0% 14%         Single +1.0% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% -1.8% 3%         Home Run +3.8% -2.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years