Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Fernando Tatis Jr.

matchup for Jared Jones

425th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Jared Jones

matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

295th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.4% lower than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	24.0%	5.3%	6.3%	12.5%	10.3%	25.4%
Tatis Jr.	-1.4	-1.5	+1.3	+0.3	-3.1	+0.1	+4.0
Jones	+3.3	+3.2	+2.3	+1.3	-0.3	+0.1	-3.1

Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tatis Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.6% +0.4% 5%

Walk -0.8% +0.6% 38%

In Play +4.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base +5.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit +6.2% -0.8% 14%

Single +1.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +3.8% +0.9%

32.6% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.8% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.4% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -3.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.8% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +2.5%

38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.6% +0.4%

10.0% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%