Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Fernando Tatis Jr.

matchup for Bryce Miller

414th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

473rd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.3% lower than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	24.2%	3.2%	5.5%	15.5%	9.3%	27.4%
Tatis Jr.	-2.3	-1.3	-0.8	-0.5	-0.1	-1.0	+6.0
Miller	+4.2	+3.7	+0.9	+1.1	+1.8	+0.5	-2.4

Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tatis Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.6% +0.2% 5%

Walk -0.8% -2.5% 38%

In Play +4.4% +2.3% 39%

On Base +5.3% -3.2% 31%

Hit +6.2% -0.7% 14%

Single +1.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +3.8% +0.5%

32.6% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.8% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.4% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -3.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.8% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -0.9%

38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.2% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.6% +1.5%

10.0% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%