Matchup Machine

      Fernando Tatis Jr.

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      matchup for Slade Cecconi

      436th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

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      Slade Cecconi

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      matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

      14th out of 564 (Best 3%)

      Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.
      10

      Model Prediction

      Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 40.6% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 4.6% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 9.0% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      56%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Changeup (R)
      10%
         Curve (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.2% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.5% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.9% -4.8% 5%         Walk -0.9% -4.4% 38%         In Play +4.8% +9.2% 39%         On Base +5.6% -1.3% 31%         Hit +6.5% +3.0% 14%         Single +1.1% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +0.9% 3%         Home Run +3.8% +1.4%

      History

      Fernando Tatis Jr. has 7 plate appearances against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 7 with a home run and a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual775113200.714
      Expected From Contact →3.801.190.731.880.543
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-06Double27%67%2%4%
      2024-06-06Single4%81%15%
      2024-06-06Single59%40%
      2024-05-03Home Run93%1%6%
      2024-05-03Strikeout
      2024-05-03Single46%54%
      2023-08-11Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.