Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 40.6% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 4.6% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 9.0% higher than batters facing Cecconi.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 40.6% | 32.4% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 15.8% |
Tatis Jr. | +4.6 | +6.5 | +1.2 | +4.4 | +0.9 | -1.9 | -5.1 |
Cecconi | +9.0 | +7.1 | +1.7 | +4.6 | +0.9 | +1.9 | -6.1 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
15% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
41% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
12.2% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.5% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
32.7% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi induces Standard Grounders at a 25.6% rate, which is 8.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
9.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has 7 plate appearances against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 7 with a home run and a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.714 |
Expected From Contact → | 3.80 | 1.19 | 0.73 | 1.88 | 0.543 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-06-06 | Double | 27% | 67% | 2% | 4% |
2024-06-06 | Single | 4% | 81% | 15% | |
2024-06-06 | Single | 59% | 40% | ||
2024-05-03 | Home Run | 93% | 1% | 6% | |
2024-05-03 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-05-03 | Single | 46% | 54% | ||
2023-08-11 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.