Matchup Machine

Fernando Tatis Jr.

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

497th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Tatis Jr.
3

Model Prediction

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 3.2% lower than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%22.1%3.3%4.0%14.8%10.5%24.9%
Tatis Jr.-3.2-3.5-0.6-2.0-0.8+0.3+3.5
Morejon+2.1+0.0+0.9-0.4-0.5+2.10.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Fernando Tatis Jr. is worse vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Tatis Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% +1.9% 5%         Walk -0.8% -0.8% 38%         In Play +4.4% -1.2% 39%         On Base +5.3% -0.4% 31%         Hit +6.2% +0.4% 14%         Single +1.0% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +3.8% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years