Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Fernando Tatis Jr.

matchup for George Kirby

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

George Kirby

matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

314th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 1.9% lower than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 5.7% higher than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	26.8%	4.0%	6.1%	16.6%	7.1%	17.4%
Tatis Jr.	-1.9	+1.2	+0.1	+0.2	+1.0	-3.1	-4.1
Kirby	+5.7	+4.1	+1.4	+0.9	+1.8	+1.6	-3.4

Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.6% +0.5% 5%

Walk -0.8% -5.1% 38%

In Play +4.4% +4.6% 39%

On Base +5.3% -3.9% 31%

Hit +6.2% +1.2% 14%

Single +1.0% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +3.8% -0.1%

32.6% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.8% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.4% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.3% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.8% +3.1% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +2.1%

38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.2% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.6% -1.7%

10.0% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.1% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° +1.1% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.5% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -1.4% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.2% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% +1.9%

Fernando Tatis Jr. has 6 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			2.44	0.93	0.32	1.20			0.407

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-10	Strikeout
2024-09-10	Home Run	92%	5%		3%
2024-09-10	Groundout			9%	91%
2023-06-07	Lineout		18%	28%	54%
2023-06-07	Single		9%	79%	13%
2023-06-07	Groundout			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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