matchup for Alex Speas
10
Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 0.7% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Speas.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.7% | 24.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 22.4% |
| Tatis Jr. | +0.7 | -1.9 | +0.5 | +0.6 | -3.0 | +2.6 | +1.6 |
| Speas | +2.8 | +2.9 | +1.7 | +1.8 | -0.6 | -0.2 | -2.0 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed Cutters
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Cutter (R)
77%
4-Seam (R)
19%
12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
12%
+3%
Fringe Miss
15%
+3%
Likely Ball
22%
+3%
Non-Competitive
15%
+3%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
13%
-4%
Mid Challenge
4%
-7%
96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fastball (R)
96%
+42%
Minimal Break
38%
+28%
Small Drop
36%
+23%
Medium Velo
27%
+17%
12.2% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-3.9%
+19.9%
5%
Walk
-0.9%
-0.6%
38%
In Play
+4.8%
-19.3%
39%
On Base
+5.6%
-8.2%
31%
Hit
+6.5%
-7.6%
14%
Single
+1.1%
-5.7%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.6%
-5.2%
3%
Home Run
+3.8%
+3.3%
32.7% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
-1.7%
-12.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
+4.4%
-7.8%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.3%
+9.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
+5.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.6%
-4.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.5%
+10.2%
1%
No Doubter
+1.8%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.9%
-7.4%
3%
Pop up
0.0%
+8.5%
38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-5.3%
+8.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-4.5%
-9.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-4.2%
+6.8%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.7%
+4.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+14.6%
-10.5%
9.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.9%
+4.3%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.6%
-12.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.1%
-8.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.4%
-3.8%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.3%
-2.3%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.5%
+14.2%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.2%
+4.8%
8%
Above 50°
-1.6%
+3.8%
No History in the last 3 years
