Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Fernando Tatis Jr.

matchup for Ryan Feltner

435th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

30th out of 564 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 40.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 4.7% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 7.0% higher than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	40.4%	30.5%	5.1%	7.5%	18.0%	9.9%	15.2%
Tatis Jr.	+4.7	+5.0	+1.1	+1.5	+2.4	-0.3	-6.2
Feltner	+7.0	+5.8	+2.2	+1.5	+2.1	+1.3	-5.0

Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tatis Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.6% -5.1% 5%

Walk -0.8% 0.0% 38%

In Play +4.4% +5.1% 39%

On Base +5.3% +5.3% 31%

Hit +6.2% +5.3% 14%

Single +1.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% +2.7% 3%

Home Run +3.8% +0.1%

32.6% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.8% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.4% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.3% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.8% -0.8% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +1.6%

38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.2% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.6% -4.2%

10.0% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.1% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +1.1% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -0.5% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.4% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° -1.2% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% +5.0%

Fernando Tatis Jr. has 6 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with 3 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	0	0	2	3	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.79	0.00	0.03	1.76			0.299

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-23	Single		3%	90%	7%
2024-04-23	Single			86%	14%
2024-04-23	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Pop Out				100%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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