Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Fernando Tatis Jr.

matchup for Logan Webb

424th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Logan Webb

matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

206th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.3% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 4.8% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.0%	28.9%	3.8%	5.4%	19.6%	8.1%	16.2%
Tatis Jr.	+1.3	+3.4	-0.1	-0.5	+4.0	-2.1	-5.2
Webb	+4.8	+4.1	+1.4	+0.3	+2.5	+0.7	-5.8

Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tatis Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.6% -0.8% 5%

Walk -0.8% -2.4% 38%

In Play +4.4% +3.2% 39%

On Base +5.3% +1.6% 31%

Hit +6.2% +4.0% 14%

Single +1.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +3.8% -1.3%

32.6% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.8% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.4% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.3% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.8% -7.2% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -1.4%

38.9% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.6% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.2% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.6% +3.6%

10.0% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.1% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.1% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.5% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.4% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° -1.2% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% -5.1%

Fernando Tatis Jr. has 14 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 14 with a home run and a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.357
Expected From Contact →			5.44	0.94	1.83	2.67			0.388

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Groundout			3%	97%
2024-09-13	Groundout			11%	89%
2024-09-13	Home Run	91%	5%		4%
2024-04-07	Groundout			18%	82%
2024-04-07	Lineout		12%	54%	34%
2024-04-07	Single	2%	72%	14%	13%
2024-04-07	Groundout			16%	84%
2024-03-28	GIDP			61%	39%
2024-03-28	Single		1%	46%	52%
2024-03-28	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-09-25	Double	2%	92%	4%	3%
2023-09-25	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-09-25	GIDP			8%	92%
2023-09-25	Single			23%	77%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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