Matchup Machine

      Fernando Tatis Jr.

      sometext

      matchup for Yonny Chirinos

      425th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

      sometext

      Yonny Chirinos

      sometext

      matchup for F. Tatis Jr.

      137th out of 564 (Best 25%)

      Extreme advantage for Tatis Jr.
      10

      Model Prediction

      Fernando Tatis Jr. has a 38.3% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 2.2% higher than Tatis Jr.'s typical expectations, and 4.1% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

      Handedness and Release Point

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Fernando Tatis Jr. is better vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tatis Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

      Left Arrow
      Show Vertical Release

      On the Way to the Plate

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Splitter (R)
      20%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.5% of Fernando Tatis Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% -7.8% 5%         Walk -0.8% -0.6% 38%         In Play +4.4% +8.3% 39%         On Base +5.3% +2.3% 31%         Hit +6.2% +2.9% 14%         Single +1.0% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +3.8% +0.4%

      History

      Fernando Tatis Jr. has 3 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001100.333
      Expected From Contact →0.690.000.160.530.230
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-06-18Single16%53%31%
      2023-06-18Strikeout
      2023-06-18Hit By Pitch

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.