Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeremy Pena

matchup for Roki Sasaki

153rd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Jeremy Pena

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Pena

Jeremy Pena has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 2.6% higher than Pena's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.6%	25.1%	3.2%	5.9%	15.9%	8.6%	19.5%
Pena	+2.6	-0.5	+0.4	+0.7	-1.5	+3.0	+0.3
Sasaki	-3.5	+2.4	+0.2	-0.3	+2.5	-5.9	-3.0

Jeremy Pena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Pena has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Jeremy Pena has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

11.1% of Jeremy Pena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.8% -4.7% 6%

Walk -4.3% +27.6% 35%

In Play +10.1% -23.0% 39%

On Base -0.2% +14.9% 31%

Hit +4.1% -12.8% 14%

Single +1.6% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% -6.7% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -3.1%

41.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +15.2%

24.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% -24.3%

9.5% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%