Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeremy Pena

matchup for Hunter Gaddis

369th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

Hunter Gaddis

matchup for Jeremy Pena

427th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Pena

Jeremy Pena has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 3.0% lower than Pena's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.0%	23.7%	3.5%	4.8%	15.4%	4.4%	21.2%
Pena	-3.0	-1.9	+0.7	-0.5	-2.1	-1.2	+2.0
Gaddis	+0.6	+4.3	+0.4	+0.3	+3.6	-3.6	-5.9

Jeremy Pena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Pena has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jeremy Pena has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

31%

Changeup (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

13% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

22% of Hunter Gaddis's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 22%

+11%

11.1% of Jeremy Pena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.8% -0.6% 6%

Walk -4.3% -1.7% 35%

In Play +10.1% +2.4% 39%

On Base -0.2% -5.5% 31%

Hit +4.1% -3.8% 14%

Single +1.6% -2.8% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +1.5%

41.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis induces Standard Grounders at a 28.1% rate, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% -6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -4.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% +1.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +2.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +5.6% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +3.4%

24.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% +0.5%

9.5% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 13.5% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Gaddis are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.9% -5.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.8% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% -2.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.3% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -2.0% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.0% +2.1% 7%

39 to 50° -1.7% +3.4% 8%

Above 50° -1.3% +7.8%

Jeremy Pena has 3 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.34	0.05	0.22	0.06			0.112

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-28	Strikeout
2022-08-05	Flyout	5%	3%		92%
2022-08-05	Groundout		19%	6%	75%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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