Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeremy Pena

matchup for Ryan Weathers

303rd out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Jeremy Pena

407th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Pena

Jeremy Pena has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.4% lower than Pena's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.7%	25.1%	2.0%	6.0%	17.0%	4.6%	19.4%
Pena	-1.4	-0.5	-0.8	+0.8	-0.5	-0.9	+0.1
Weathers	-0.2	+3.5	-0.1	+0.5	+3.1	-3.7	-5.4

Jeremy Pena is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Pena has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jeremy Pena has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

11.1% of Jeremy Pena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.8% -2.1% 6%

Walk -4.3% -0.6% 35%

In Play +10.1% +2.7% 39%

On Base -0.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit +4.1% +1.5% 14%

Single +1.6% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -0.5%

41.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +1.2%

24.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% +1.1%

9.5% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%