Matchup Machine

Jeremy Pena

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matchup for Slade Cecconi

270th out of 436 (Worst 38%)

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Slade Cecconi

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matchup for Jeremy Pena

182nd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Strong advantage for Pena
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Model Prediction

Jeremy Pena has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 0.3% higher than Pena's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%27.6%3.2%5.7%18.7%3.8%16.9%
Pena+0.3+2.1+0.4+0.4+1.2-1.8-2.3
Cecconi-0.3+2.2-0.1-0.4+2.8-2.5-5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jeremy Pena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pena has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jeremy Pena has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Jeremy Pena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% -4.8% 6%         Walk -4.3% -4.3% 35%         In Play +10.1% +9.0% 39%         On Base -0.2% -1.5% 31%         Hit +4.1% +2.8% 14%         Single +1.6% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +1.4%

History

Jeremy Pena has 1 plate appearance against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.002
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-07Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.